The paper deals with the opportunity of Judgmental Macroeconomic Forecasting for the behavior of the economic systems and processes on the basis of the estimation of a priori, a posterior and conditional probabilities of the relevant economic indicators. This approach shows a path of economic crisis forecasting that should be an essential tool for policy makers in order to avoid or to mitigate the consequences of a possible economic crisis. The method will be especially useful for small countries with transient economy in order to create an optimal strategy of country’s development during the crisis.
